Powered by MOMENTUM MEDIA
subscribe to our newsletter

RBA likely to cut rates in 2017: AB

Australia’s economic growth is showing signs of improvement, but the adjustment in house prices may drive further cuts throughout 2017, according to AllianceBernstein.

AllianceBernstein (AB) recently upgraded its outlook for Australian growth, citing improving commodity prices and incoming economic data as drivers of the decision.

“The labour market has generally been doing better than expected, business and consumer sentiment has improved, and the GDP has been running above 3 per cent,” the company said.

Inflation however remains “near or below the bottom end” of RBA targets, AB said, which when coupled with record low wage growth and an appreciating dollar would justify policymakers maintaining an easing bias.

“How much weight to give these two issues - stronger growth and stubbornly low core inflation - represents somewhat of a quandary.

Advertisement
Advertisement

PROMOTED CONTENT


“It seems to us that we’re nearing the point where stronger growth numbers - in concert with housing-influenced financial stability concerns - will convince the central banks to stand pat on interest rates,” AB said.

Nonetheless, AB said its baseline scenario was for further rate cuts in 2017, though these would be “contingent upon how disorderly the housing adjustment becomes”.

“We think there will be enough stress in that sector next year to justify another couple of rate cuts,” the company said.

[Related: Bank educates borrowers amid 'community angst' over rates]

RBA likely to cut rates in 2017: AB
mortgagebusiness

Latest News

The major bank will develop an integrated remediation plan on all activities related to risk governance and report to APRA each quarter as p...

The total value of new loan commitments for housing and the number of loans for the construction of new dwellings have reached record levels...

The recovery in Australian house prices continued in November, with CoreLogic stating that house values look set to surpass their pre-COVID ...

FROM THE WEB

Join a group of highly informed brokers.

Broker Pulse, a community-driven knowledge base of lender performance Reveal exactly which lenders are making life easiest for brokers and their clients by taking this monthly survey and joining a group of highly informed brokers who leverage these insights every month.

JOIN NOW
podcast

LATEST PODCAST: What’s being done to support home building?

Do you expect to see strong uptake of the HomeBuilder scheme?

Website Notifications

Get notifications in real-time for staying up to date with content that matters to you.