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Property poised for a strong start to 2021: CoreLogic

Australia’s housing market ended 2020 on a positive note, with CoreLogic’s national home value index rising a further 1.0 per cent in December.

It’s the third consecutive month-on-month rise for housing values, following the 2.1 per cent drop in dwelling values between April and September.

It meant that Australian home values finished the year 3.0 per cent higher with regional housing values rising by 6.9 per cent, a rate of capital gain that was more than three times higher than the combined capitals, where home values were up 2.0 per cent over the year.

CoreLogic’s research director, Tim Lawless, said that the year was characterised by a mild dip in values triggered by the coronavirus pandemic, but coincided with unprecedented volatility in the transaction space.

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“The number of residential property sales plummeted by 40 per cent through March and April but finished the year with almost 8 per cent more sales relative to a year ago as buyer numbers surged through the second half of the year,” he outlined. 

Even with the volatility, house values fell by just 2.1 per cent before rebounding with strength throughout the final quarter of 2020.

As at the year’s end, CoreLogic highlighted that smaller capital cities experienced higher changes to dwelling values over the last month of the year, with Darwin leading the charge at 2.3 per cent, followed by Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth with 1.1 per cent each. 

Meanwhile, Melbourne saw a monthly change of 1.0 per cent, followed by Sydney and Hobart with 0.7 per cent each and Canberra with 0.6 per cent.

Mr Lawless explained that in retrospect, the rebound in housing market activity and dwelling values can be considered unsurprising given the rapid and substantial monetary and fiscal policy response from the government and policymakers. 

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Commenting further, he said: “Record low interest rates played a key role in supporting housing market activity, along with a spectacular rise in consumer confidence as COVID-related restrictions were lifted and forecasts for economic conditions turned out to be overly pessimistic.”

“Containing the spread of the virus has been critical to Australia’s economic and housing market resilience,” Mr Lawless concluded.

[Related: 2020 ends on an auction high]

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